The iPhone Isn't Made in China -- It's Made Everywhere
January 31 2020 - 11:08AM
Dow Jones News
By Fred P. Hochberg
At the Jan. 15 White House signing ceremony for an initial trade
deal with China, President Trump's top trade negotiator, Robert
Lighthizer, noted that his boss "has, for years, complained about
our enormous trade deficit with China." Indeed, Mr. Trump and
others have long considered that gap a reflection of American
economic weakness. The premise seems to be that a $420 billion
trade deficit with China is akin to Washington just forking over
$420 billion to Beijing each year. In 2012, Mr. Trump tweeted that
"every year... China is making almost $300 billion off the United
States." This is the equivalent of saying that your local gas
station "made $20 off you" when you put $20 worth of gas in your
car.
In fact, bilateral trade deficits are about as useful for
determining the health of trade relationships as they are for
determining the weather. A trade balance between two countries
simply measures the value of goods and services sold from country A
to country B versus the value of goods and services moving in the
other direction. The country that buys more than it sells is
running a bilateral trade deficit with the country that sells more
than it buys.
I run this kind of trade deficit with my barber because I
repeatedly purchase the service of a haircut from him, even though
he never purchases anything from me. That deficit doesn't tell you
much, of course, about the state of either of our finances. By the
same token, the nearly $420 billion trade deficit that the U.S. ran
with China in 2018 doesn't offer us much information about the
strength or weakness of the U.S. economy.
One object in many of our daily lives, the iPhone, renders trade
deficits especially laughable as a talking point. The iPhone was
invented and designed in America, is powered by Central African
minerals and is brought to life by European and Asian technologies,
but both the World Trade Organization and the U.S. nevertheless
classify it as a 100% Chinese export.
For the purposes of calculating the U.S. trade deficit, it
wouldn't matter if 99 out of every 100 iPhone suppliers were
located in downtown St. Louis. The country "where the last
substantial transformation" of a product occurs gets credit for it.
Because the overwhelming majority of iPhones have their final
assembly done in China, the value of their Swiss gyroscopes, Dutch
motion chips, Japanese retina displays and American glassware gets
assigned to the Chinese economy. The iPhone's assembly is largely
handled by the Taiwanese company Foxconn Technology Group, the
world's largest contract manufacturer of electronics. According to
Reuters, that final assembly is estimated to represent just 3-6% of
the cost of building each phone, or about $10 to $20 for every
iPhone X.
The price of iPhones varies considerably by model and features,
but let's say that a typical one retails for about $999. Business
Insider and the data portal Statista have estimated that, in 2017,
just over 69 million iPhones were sold in America. Because the
trade deficit is calculated using factory costs -- an estimated
$230 per iPhone -- rather than retail prices, iPhones would
contribute about $16 billion to the U.S. trade deficit with China.
Only Apple knows the exact number of iPhones sold in the U.S. each
year, so the actual value of these imports could be somewhat lower
or higher, but the figure is certainly in the tens of billions,
which gets factored straight into our $420 billion trade deficit
with China.
Yet every time a $999 iPhone gets sold to a U.S. customer, that
money doesn't get wired directly to Beijing. The global information
provider IHS Markit estimates that for every iPhone X that gets
sold, $110 is sent to Samsung, the South Korean conglomerate that
makes iPhone displays. (Samsung also produces the Galaxy series of
phones, making them Apple's chief rival in the smartphone market.)
Another $44.45 finds its way to the iPhone's memory chip suppliers:
Toshiba Corp. of Japan and SK Hynix Inc. of South Korea. A little
money goes to Singapore; a little goes to Brazil; a little goes to
Italy; and a little goes to Corning, N.Y. The vast majority of
those dollars go to Apple Park in Cupertino, Calif., while China
earns only an estimated $8.46 for the labor and parts that it
supplies.
The iPhone may be calculated as a Chinese import, but most of
the money that Americans spend on them doesn't travel far from
home. And this is just one of many possible examples showing how
America's trade deficit with China is artificially and
substantially inflated, simply because China often happens to be
the last stop in a given product's long global supply chain.
Trade deficits are also unreliable measures of economic health
for several other reasons. For one, they can be easily distorted by
factors that go beyond a tally of imports and exports. When the
U.S. dollar rises or falls in value, for example, our trade
balances fluctuate. A high dollar renders American exports more
expensive and imports cheaper. So even if the number of products
that the U.S. has imported from overseas hasn't changed, when the
dollar becomes more valuable, American shoppers will probably buy
more imports and sell fewer exports -- making the U.S. trade
deficit "worse." But is that a bad thing? Any change in exchange
rates, inflation or how much people in a country save or invest has
an effect on trade surpluses and deficits.
Global trade has made many products cheaper, stronger, more
innovative or more accessible by influencing supply and demand. It
lowers the price tag on our clothing, allows for more durable car
parts and provides us with blueberries in the wintertime.
But its impact on smartphones and other gadgets has been far
more profound than that: By weaving together the technologies and
resources of many countries, trade has made extraordinary products
possible. American audio chips, Korean batteries, Congolese
minerals, Japanese cameras, German accelerometers: The iPhone may
well be the most truly global product yet.
The oft-touted $420 billion trade deficit with China isn't just
a poor metric for determining the strength of the U.S. economy. It
is also an imprecise number that can lead to bad policy choices.
China isn't the enemy here. In fact, the Chinese make products like
the iPhone possible without reaping much of the benefits.
The lesson of the iPhone is clear: If Americans were left to our
own devices, we'd be left without many devices of our own.
--Mr. Hochberg was chairman and president of the U.S.
Export-Import Bank in 2009-17. This essay is adapted from his new
book, "Trade Is Not a Four-Letter Word: How Six Everyday Products
Make the Case for Trade," recently published by Avid Reader
Press.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
January 31, 2020 10:53 ET (15:53 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2020 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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